Measure the storms.
We use lightning observations and storm measurements, including cell width, radar echo-top height, and geographic location, to describe each storm.
Skyward’s field evaluations examine how targeted lightning abatement affects cloud-to-ground lightning. Here we explain what the results show, how we estimate the effect, and what scientific, environmental, and health reviews have examined.
76%
Estimated first-hour reduction in cloud-to-ground lightning.
Our field analysis estimated a 76% reduction in cloud-to-ground lightning during the first hour following intervention, compared with the modelled activity expected without intervention.
The estimate reflects the storm conditions evaluated. It does not mean every storm will respond in the same way, and it measures changes in lightning activity—not a reduction in wildfire ignitions.
We cannot observe the same storm both with and without intervention. So we estimate what would have happened using comparable reference cells.
We use lightning observations and storm measurements, including cell width, radar echo-top height, and geographic location, to describe each storm.
A statistical model uses those observations to estimate lightning without intervention. It is designed for counts, including cases with no recorded strikes.
We compare that estimate with lightning observed after intervention. Independent experts have reviewed the methodology and findings.
Cloud-to-ground lightning recorded in intervention cells.
Cloud-to-ground lightning expected under comparable conditions without intervention.
Skyward’s statistical methodology and findings have been reviewed externally by experts from UBC’s Applied Statistics and Data Science Group and New Mexico Tech’s Langmuir Laboratory for Atmospheric Research.
The review examined the statistical approach used to compare intervention and reference storms, the treatment of differences between storm cells, model diagnostics, and the interpretation of the results.
Applied Statistics and Data Science Group
Langmuir Laboratory for Atmospheric ResearchIndependent assessments examined more than 80 scientific, technical, and regulatory sources published over the past 50 years.
The assessments found that, under the operating conditions evaluated, Skyward’s wildfire prevention operations are not expected to cause measurable adverse effects to air, soil, water, ecosystems, or the health of people, livestock, and wildlife.
Independent assessments used conservative estimates and considered evidence from areas with substantially higher levels of deposition than those modelled for Skyward’s operations.
Skyward uses a very small amount of mineral-based fibres that conduct electricity. Aircraft introduce the fibres into selected developing thunderstorms to help electrical charge redistribute within the cloud.
The material is the size of a short human hair and is not a respirable particulate matter.
Lightning abatement is designed to influence electrical activity in selected thunderstorms, not to change rainfall.
Available assessments and expert review have found no evidence to suggest that the technology affects precipitation.
Answers about the technology, the evidence, and the environmental assessment.
Contact our teamThunderstorms naturally build and redistribute electrical charge. When that charge is discharged, some lightning remains within the cloud and some reaches the ground.
In selected developing thunderstorms, Skyward introduces conductive mineral fibres intended to help electrical charge redistribute within the cloud.
The objective is to reduce the amount of lightning that reaches the ground. It is not to eliminate lightning or suppress the thunderstorm itself.
No. Both technologies involve introducing material into clouds, but they are designed to affect different processes.
Traditional precipitation-focused cloud seeding aims to influence rain or snow, commonly by introducing particles that encourage ice-crystal formation.
Skyward’s lightning abatement instead targets the electrical processes inside selected thunderstorms. Its objective is to reduce cloud-to-ground lightning, not to increase precipitation.
Skyward does not impact rainfall. Lightning is part of the weather, and it is the specific process our technology is designed to influence.
We help reduce cloud-to-ground lightning in a very small number of high risk thunderstorms.
Available assessments and expert review have found no evidence to suggest that the technology affects precipitation.
No. Skyward deliberately introduces a known mineral-based material into selected storm clouds for a specific operational purpose: reducing cloud-to-ground lightning.
That is different from ordinary contrails, which are ice-crystal clouds that can form behind aircraft under certain atmospheric conditions.
No. Skyward is not developing a climate geoengineering technology.
Lightning abatement acts on electrical activity within individual thunderstorms. It is not intended to cool the planet, remove carbon dioxide, alter incoming sunlight, or produce broader changes to the climate.
The objective is much narrower: reduce cloud-to-ground lightning during a defined time window in high risk storms where new wildfire ignitions could have serious consequences.
The mineral fibres disperse after release and eventually settle to the ground, in a similar way to wildfire retardants. The quantities involved are very small.
Independent assessments have considered potential exposure through air, soil, and water, as well as potential effects on people, wildlife, and ecosystems. Findings indicate low concern, with no measurable adverse effects expected under the operating conditions evaluated.
No. Fire is an important natural process in ecosystems, and most ignitions do not need to be prevented. Most thunderstorms are not candidates for lightning abatement. Skyward's technologies predict and target the storms that carry the highest risk of igniting catastrophic wildfires.
The technology is intended for a very small share of storms wthat have the potential to create many new ignitions that could have particularly serious consequences for communities, infrastructure, natural resources, or wildfire-response capacity.
The question is not simply whether a storm will produce lightning. Operations focus on situations where cloud-to-ground strikes could create consequential wildfire risk and where an aerial operation is safe and appropriate.
Considerations include wildfire conditions, storm development, flight safety, regulatory requirements, and the priorities of the government agencies involved.
Yes. Vista and lightning abatement are separate capabilities.
Skyward’s Vista platform provides forecasts of lightning and lightning-ignited wildfire risk that agencies can use for preparedness and operational planning. Using Vista does not require an agency to use lightning abatement, and a Vista forecast does not automatically lead to an aerial operation.
Use our briefing form to tell us what you’d like to understand.
You can ask about the field results, environmental and health findings, Vista, lightning abatement, or another aspect of our work. We’ll answer as fully as we can while respecting proprietary, regulatory, and partner information.
Contact our teamTalk with our team about lightning and lightning-ignited wildfire risk management.